Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004261 0.004792 0.005392 0.006125 0.007006 0.008040 0.009362
2025-12-28 0.003640 0.004346 0.005216 0.006389 0.007966 0.010073 0.013205
2026-01-04 0.003215 0.003991 0.005003 0.006465 0.008601 0.011752 0.017072
2026-01-11 0.002878 0.003674 0.004760 0.006411 0.008987 0.013119 0.020928
2026-01-18 0.002641 0.003453 0.004600 0.006425 0.009447 0.014688 0.025764
2026-01-25 0.002410 0.003209 0.004368 0.006281 0.009604 0.015754 0.030116
2026-02-01 0.002190 0.002955 0.004090 0.006014 0.009486 0.016265 0.033493
2026-02-08 0.002002 0.002731 0.003833 0.005745 0.009308 0.016598 0.036630
2026-02-15 0.001910 0.002645 0.003780 0.005811 0.009767 0.018407 0.045025
2026-02-22 0.001794 0.002511 0.003636 0.005698 0.009848 0.019386 0.051665
2026-03-01 0.001682 0.002375 0.003478 0.005536 0.009799 0.020039 0.057778
2026-03-08 0.001590 0.002263 0.003351 0.005418 0.009822 0.020888 0.065566
2026-03-15 0.001541 0.002224 0.003351 0.005564 0.010507 0.023953 0.088387
2026-03-22 0.001507 0.002208 0.003393 0.005800 0.011477 0.028434 0.130120
2026-03-29 0.001452 0.002151 0.003355 0.005867 0.012051 0.032020 0.179431
2026-04-05 0.001386 0.002072 0.003269 0.005820 0.012320 0.034706 0.234715
2026-04-12 0.001334 0.002012 0.003214 0.005832 0.012758 0.038395 0.329113
2026-04-19 0.001270 0.001926 0.003103 0.005706 0.012774 0.040337 0.418997
2026-04-26 0.001198 0.001824 0.002953 0.005473 0.012425 0.040429 0.478168
2026-05-03 0.001131 0.001727 0.002807 0.005236 0.012026 0.040129 0.532638
2026-05-10 0.001101 0.001696 0.002787 0.005294 0.012561 0.045057 0.868737
2026-05-17 0.001057 0.001635 0.002706 0.005195 0.012569 0.047175 1.193908
2026-05-24 0.001011 0.001570 0.002611 0.005053 0.012409 0.048247 1.549714